Monday 12 November 2018

DCLFC FANS - BOGEY'S AND PREDICTIONS !




DERBY COUNTY LFC AGAINST BLACKBURN ROVERS LFC - THE STATS

Since Derby County Ladies Football Club were established in 1990, we have had one particular team above all others that have for the most part given us one hell of a game: Blackburn Rovers. 

We have been playing Rovers now since the 2011-2012 season when they were promoted to the FA Women's Premier League Northern Division, as it then was. Before that we had never met them in the league, (or cup for that matter), as Derby played in the Midland Women's Combination League, until they too were promoted as Champions to the FA WPLND beginning 2009-2010.

We've had some real encounters with this lot over the last seven and a half seasons, so we thought we'd bring you the stats, and they make for interesting reading...




Derby scored in 10 of the 15 matches with a mean average of 1.33 goals per game. This however converts to Blackburn scoring 3.06 goals per game over the entirety of the play between the two clubs.

The games aforementioned are as follows:




In the last 10 seasons Derby County have played 16 matches producing 157 goals, with Derby scoring 128 of them. A mean average of 15.7 goals per game overall with Derby scoring a mean average of 12.8 goals per game.


Match winners by 7 or more in the last 10 seasons

2009-2010   27/09/09   Liverpool LFC   7-2 Derby County
Next match draw 1-1 H to Leicester City Womens

2011-2012   25/03/12   Leeds City Vixens 1-8 Derby County
Next match lose 4-0 A to Leeds Ladies

2011-2012   13/11/11   Manchester City 7-1 Derby County
Next match win 3-1 A to Rochdale

2011-2012   04/09/11   Derby County 7-0 Leeds City Vixens
Next match lose 3-1 H to Manchester City

2012-2013   17/02/13   Derby County 7-1 Pinxton (County Cup)
Next match lose 3-1 A to Sheffield FC

2012-2013   13/01/13   St.George's 0-12 Derby County (County Cup)
Next match lose 0-4 H to Watford

2012-2013   18/11/13   Ilkeston 0-18 Derby County (County Cup)
Next match lose 4-3 A to Leicester City Womens

2012-2013   23/09/12   Derby County 7-5 WBA (League Cup)
Next match win 3-2 H Blackburn Rovers

2013-2014   23/02/14   Glossop North End 0-9 Derby County (County Cup)
Next match lose 3-0 A Wolverhampton Wanderers

2013-2014   02/02/14   Derby County 15-0 Belper   (County Cup)
Next match lose 2-0 A Crystal Palace

2014-2015   19/04/15   Long Eaton United 0-8 Derby County (County Cup)
Next match win 2-0 H Blackburn Rovers

2014-2015   15/02/15   Mackworth St.Francis 0-12 Derby County (County Cup)
Next match lose 2-0 A Bradford City

2015-2016   21/02/16   Pride Park 1-7 Derby County (County Cup)
Next match win 1-0 H Newcastle United

2015-2016   31/01/16   Fylde 7-1 Derby County (League Cup)
Next match win 2-6 A Huddersfield Town

2016-2017   04/09/16   Derby County 7-0 Steel City Wanderers (League Cup)
Next match win 3-1 H Huddersfield Town

2017-2018   03/09/17   Derby County 7-0 Rotherham United (League Cup)
Next match lose 1-0 A to Nottingham Forest


From the results shown above, the 'next match' results are interesting. They reveal that of the 16 high scoring games that Derby County have experienced over the last 10 seasons, when we won, we lost the next match. When we lost we won the next match. That is except on four occasions when we won twice against Blackburn Rovers of all teams, and beat Newcastle and huddersfield once apiece. So out of 16 matches producing high scoring wins or losses of 7 goals or more for that team, 12 matches (75%), have consistently produced the exact opposite result the following game. Call stats stats, but stats don't lie, and the stats show that three quarters the time, Derby County have lost their next match when they have hit the extreme high, and won their next match when they have sunk to an extreme low.


Our prediction for the next match against Sunderland away therefore has to be a 1-2 win to Derby County, like it or lump it... it's happening!

Come on Ewe Rams...